Wednesday, June 8, 2011

USDCAD -- Dollar/Loonie

I'm checking out the USD/CAD here in this post.

Sigma Lambda

4.5 year (54 month) cycle

My analysis has us on a low on 11/8/2007 -- that puts us very late in the cycle (in the last third of the 4.5 year cycle) -- bearish.

18 month cycle

Right now there is a suspicion that we went into an 18 month low on May 2nd. We would be in the bullish phase of the cycle right now -- bullish

40 week cycle

This nested with the 18 month -- early in phase -- bullish

20 week cycle

This nested with the 18 month -- early in phase -- bullish

80 day cycle

This nested with the 18 month -- close to peaking -- bullish

40 day cycle

My 'best guess' right now has this dropping into a low sometime around 8am Sunday. The last best fit puts the nominal 40 day at 44.4, but the 40 days is on the 11th. It's *possible* this is already in, but I don't believe so. So for the remainder of this week it's quite -- bearish

20 day cycle

The 20 day cycle is possibly synched up to drop into a low with the 40 day on Sunday, however, the daily chart has this approximated as possibly coming in a day early on the 10th (Friday) -- bearish

10 day cycle

4 hour chart is estimating at or slightly before the 20 day nesting -- bearish

5 day cycle

For some reason the 4 hour estimates this will complete in 4.3 days and should be completing right about now. -- dangerous, but possibly bullish, for now, i'll say, 'neutral'

2 day cycle

My two day cycle count from the 15 minute chart puts the cyclical nest at 0945NYC time tomorrow the 9th of June -- bearish

1 day cycle

2nd one day cycle of the 2 day cycle is peaking and going into a nest at 0945 with the 2 day -- bearish

5 hour cycle

We're seeing a 5 hour low before the 3 day cycle low coming in late tonight... for some reason (missing trading hours) there are not as many bars as would be expected before tomorrow's 0945 expected low -- more details needed on this i think.

alternative cycling

an alternative cycling is seeing the usd.cad as this:

16 hour low in at 0230-0245 ish NYC time on the June the 9th.

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